Investors betting on stronger yuan, bigger gains

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BETS on a stronger yuan are mounting, dealers say, as policies aimed at reviving China's economy through domestic demand and foreign investment could further boost a currency that has risen more than 4 per cent against the dollar since the end of May. Read more at The Business Times.

Other banks including Goldman Sachs, Union Bancaire Privee, Westpac, ING and SEB have revised their yuan forecasts, favouring it to strengthen.

Strategists at Citi said they were positioning in both outright trades in the offshore yuan and via options to target the yuan hitting 6.80 in two months. "Dual circulation is a medium-term aspiration on economic structure," said Frances Cheung, head of macro strategy for Asia at Westpac."Still, one may argue that focusing on domestic activities means less concern over exports' competitiveness and, as such, at times when the dollar is weak, there is more room for the yuan to appreciate," she said.

 

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