REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Options on the S&P 500 index have fallen to a 2.8% move on November 4, down from a 3.2% swing in mid-August as investors expect a definitive election result to take longer than expected. "The level of implied volatility sends a clear message: The election matters for equities, and the outcome is highly uncertain," the strategists said.Traders are betting that market volatility is likely to be greater in the aftermath of the November presidential election than in the run-up to the vote, and this will last well into 2021, according to Goldman Sachs
VIX November futures, which cover the period between November 18 and December 18, are trading at a premium to October futures for the first time this year, which suggests traders and investors are preparing for a tight presidential race and a potential Covid-19 vaccine around the same time.
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