While they're still in a very good position to capture a House majority, that majority looks narrower today than it ever has, having ticked down for the second straight month to 223 seats in our model estimate. Republicans were at 226 in August and 230 in July.
Voters believe by two to one that a Republican Congress would lead to women getting fewer rights and freedoms than they have now, rather than more rights. Democrats now have a slightly larger lead among those saying abortion is very important than they did in August. Abortion is a make-or-break issue for most women voters. Seven in 10 women say a candidate must agree with them on that to get their vote. That's higher than other issues tested. This is especially the case for women who want abortion to be legal. A larger percentage of them rank the issue as very important than either the economy or inflation.By a substantial margin, voters say the overturning of Roe makes them more likely to back a Democratic candidate than a Republican one.
Most Republicans say they approve of transferring migrants because it forces other states to deal with the issue and calls attention to the problem, though fewer than half say it is good for the migrants.Republican policies are seen by more voters as able to keep them safe. And Republicans are winning voters who say crime is very important, by a wide margin. And then — the number who feel democracy is threatened is still high.
Trump motivates turnout for Republicans: those who think loyalty to him is"very important" are more enthusiastic and more likely to say they'll vote than those who place less importance on loyalty.What can changeDespite enthusiasm growing, Democrats are still less likely than Republicans to say they'll definitely vote. They haven't closed that gap.
So you’re saying that Americans want election deniers, do-nothings, and alleged insurrectionists to lead this county?
Your model is wrong, who in their right mind would want this
It would be best for all of us if they just abolished all political parties and we elected nice people.
CBS is not a credible source.
Wrong again !! c is b.s.
The only reason it seems that is because you're putting too much weight on abortion. It is a very big issue for some people, however, almost all of them were already going to vote Democrat. If Democrats want a real chance, they need to switch focus to the economy.
Won’t change my vote, the inflation, power shortages, the absolute explosion in crime over the years, this needs a change.
Oh welp, I tried.
So they’re still taking the House? Ok
CBS is trying to move slowly towards conceding that the predictions Dems will hold the House and Senate were accurate, without losing face.
Vote red
Same model you used predicting Clinton defeating Trump?
Corrupt and dishonest Media is the root cause of all the social problems in the United States!
Caution: CBS is part of the Dem-Party's vast Networks of Propaganda Media Mouthpiece and a verified worldwide leader of Fake News and Fake Polls!
Honestly how do you come up with that after the assault on women's rights?
It's all about the economy not biased media polls. The majority of americans believe the Biden administration and democrats are the blame for a failing economy.
CBS is gonna CBS
Then they’ll waste next two years getting nothing done except endless hearings like they did before
A good position? It’s a certainty.
With a lying media all day … not surprised at all. Wish the media would do their jobs and not be liberal hacks.