The S&P 500 is down about 20% since the start of the year as the economy grapples with red-hot inflation and a possible looming recession. A Republican victory in the midterm elections would be a welcome pop for investors who have seen their portfolios shrink.
History is also a guide to how markets react following midterm elections. In the lead-up to the 2018 midterm elections, Republicans, like this year, had a GOP federal trifecta with former President Donald Trump in office. The Democrats were able to regain the House, and the S&P 500 grew by more than 2% the following day.
that another factor that would cause markets to do well would be if both parties accept the results of the midterm elections. While, in the short run, markets are expected to like the newfound certainty and potential gridlock, the longer-term effects of a divided government could be less-than-ideal.
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