Fed sees credit drawdown looming, shifts toward pause on rate hikes

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Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday said banking industry stress could trigger a credit crunch with “significant” implications for an economy that U.S. central bank officials projected will slow even more this year than previously thought.

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U.S. officials across several agencies have been coping with the fallout, debating what new rules or regulations might be needed and whether changes are needed to the U.S. deposit insurance program – a systemwide backstop that failed to stem a deposit run at SVB.

Yields on Treasury securities dropped following the release of the policy statement. The yield on the 2-year Treasury note, which is highly sensitive to Fed rate expectations, was down more than 21 basis points in the session. Financial markets went a step further, betting that the Fed won’t raise rates any further from here and will be reducing them by this summer.

 

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