What the banking crisis means for mortgage rates

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Mortgage rates have taken would-be buyers on a ride this year — and it's only March.

Generally, homebuyers can anticipate mortgage rates to move down through the rest of this year as the banking crisis drags on, which could cool down inflation.

While the bank failures made the Fed's work more complicated, analysts have said that, if contained, the banking meltdown may have actually done some work for the Fed, by bringing down prices without raising interest rates. To that point, the Fed suggested on Wednesday that it may be at the end of its rate hike cycle.Mortgage rates tend to track the yield on 10-year U.S.

Even as Treasurys decline, he said, tighter credit conditions as a result of bank failures will likely limit any dramatic plunging of mortgage rates. "The housing market was the first sector to slow as the result of tighter monetary policy and should be the first to benefit as policymakers slow — and ultimately stop — hiking rates," said Fratantoni.

Lower rates could also convince more homeowners to list their home for sale. With the inventory of homes for sale near historic lows, this would add badly needed inventory to an extremely limited pool.

 

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