Very inverted yield curve may help the Pound – ING

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Very inverted yield curve may help the Pound – ING BOE EURGBP InterestRate YieldCurve Banks

150 bps of tightening was already priced in before the meeting, and investors are now looking at a 6.0%+ peak rate after the hike. The attempt by the BoE to get ahead of the curve with more aggressive tightening is being accompanied by rising speculation that this will trigger monetary easing starting in the summer of 2024. Still, that price development is not enough to impact the highly inverted shape of the GBP yield curve.

From a currency perspective, a sharply inverted yield curve can work as a positive factor for a reserve currency like the Pound . We suspect that a rebound to 0.88 in EUR/GBP will need to be delayed on the back of that.Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets.

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