Risks tilted toward a generally softer USD in the near to medium term – Scotiabank

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Risks tilted toward a generally softer USD in the near to medium term – Scotiabank DollarIndex NFP Fed InterestRate Banks

The June NFP data was likely strong enough to cement a rate hike from the Fed later this month. But the trend in the US labour market is clearly slowing and investors are, at the margin, slightly less persuaded by the idea of rate hikes beyond this month’s decision. December swaps eased 7-8 bps Friday.

The weak close for the USD Friday rounded off a rough couple of days and cemented a bearish close on the DXY on the week which tilts risks toward a generally softer USD in the near to medium term. Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets.

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