The biggest thing to fear at the trade deadline: a false sense of security with theBoth of these things were true even before this weekend, when the Phillies allowed 12 runs in two days to a Pirates lineup that had been among the worst in the sport. The bottom-line numbers have looked pretty good for the last couple of months. But this is one of those situations where the whole exceeds the sum of the parts.
Alvarado and Domínguez have combined to throw just 30⅔ innings since the end of April. Alvarado is on the injured list for the second time. Domínguez has failed to hold a lead in each of his first two outings back from a month-and-a-half absence of his own. That includes Sunday’s performance in which he faced five batters, recorded one out, and allowed a two-run homer to Bryan Reynolds. Meanwhile, Nola is coming off another abysmal outing.
A quick look under the hood raises some more questions. His fastball is down a tick, averaging 95.3 mph post-All-Star break compared with 96.4 mph in the two months before. He’s also throwing it less: 60.6% of occasions, down from 72.5%. Meanwhile, his swing-and-miss rate has dropped from 34.5% to 19%.The trade deadline won’t save the Phillies. Trea Turner and the rest must do it themselves.
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