China Property Jumps to Top Credit Risk in Bank of America Global Survey

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Chinese real estate is now seen as the number one source for the next global credit event among investors surveyed by Bank of America Corp., even as President Xi Jinping’s government rolls out stimulus measures to stabilize the world’s second-largest economy’s ailing property sector.

The ratio of investors concerned about China’s housing sector more than doubled to 33% in September from 15% last month, according to the latest BofA global survey of fund managers, which included 222 participants with $616 billion in assets under management. US or EU commercial real estate, which was seen as the top credit risk in the August poll, moved down to the second spot.

The survey came as distressed Chinese property developers struggle to negotiate with creditors to extend repayments. Country Garden Holdings Co., once the country’s largest builders, had been asking to stretch out principal payments just days after it dodged a default on dollar securities at the last minute. The deadline for votes on two of eight securities it had sought to extend was pushed back until later Tuesday, people familiar with the matter told Bloomberg News.

Nearly 60% of participants in the survey believed further support from China over the next 6 months will be limited to policy fine-tuning, while only 12% expected a so-called fiscal “bazooka” and merely 4% anticipated some big monetary stimulus. Fifteen percent of the investors saw no meaningful measures at all.

 

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