US Economic Reports on Jobs, Inflation Would Be Delayed in Shutdown

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A range of US economic reports are set to be delayed in an impending shutdown of the federal government, which would deprive markets, businesses and policymakers of reference points for decisions made at home and around the world.

Critical figures like the Labor Department’s monthly jobs report and a key inflation gauge from the Commerce Department wouldn’t come out on their scheduled release dates, based on agencies’ actions during previous shutdowns. When the government was closed in 2013, data like the employment report and others were delayed.

The Bureau of Economic Analysis and the White House referred requests for comment to the Office of Management and Budget, which is working with government agencies to finalize new contingency plans. The latest plan unveiled by the Commerce Department — which includes BEA and the Census Bureau — in 2021 expected most services and activities conducted by those two agencies to cease during a shutdown.

Most of the reports due next month will reference September data, rounding out what’s expected to be a strong quarter for the US economy. Inflation has generally been easing and the labor market remains solid, supporting consumer spending and reinforcing calls that the world’s largest economy can dodge a recession.

The Fed is a self-funding organization that doesn’t depend on government appropriations and has continued working through past shutdowns. A spokesman for the central bank declined to comment.

 

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