NSA fears quantum surprise: 'If this black swan event happens, then we're really screwed'

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The National Security Agency fears a quantum computing breakthrough by America's adversaries would jeopardize the security of the global economy and allow foes to peer inside top-secret communications systems.

U.S. Cyber Command Commander Gen. Paul Nakasone testifies before the House Armed Services Subcommittee hearing on cyberspace operations, on Capitol Hill in Washington, March 30, 2023. The National Security Agency is starting an artificial intelligence security center — a crucial …The National Security Agency fears a quantum computing breakthrough by America’s adversaries would jeopardize the security of the global economy and allow foes to peer inside top-secret communications systems.

He said there are a lot of teams around the world building with different technologies and someone could achieve a development representing a “black swan” event, an extremely unexpected occurrence with profound — and dangerous — consequences for U.S. national security.Americans could suffer consequences from such a quantum leap in several ways. Mr. Herrera said the world economy, and the U.S.

Drawing on his decades of experience at Sandia National Laboratories, Mr. Herrera said a quantum advance may be able to help people find information on weapons systems that have been in the U.S. arsenal for a significant period of time. Reflecting on supercomputers at a House Armed Services Committee hearing last year, Rep. Morgan Luttrell said he worried Beijing may have already surpassed the U.S. in its supercomputing prowess.

“Spending money doesn’t necessarily mean that you’re the best in what you do and being able to integrate that kind of capability is what really matters,” Gen. Nakasone said at the hearing. “So being able to take the intelligence, integrate it within maneuver force to have an outcome is where I clearly see United States has the lead.”

 

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