Tesla Stock Is on a Road to Nowhere

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Barron's on MarketWatch: Tesla's stock is on a road to nowhere

This time it’s about disappointing March car deliveries. Those deliveries missed expectations, causing Tesla stock to tumble about 8% near midday, to $268.57 per share.Sure, Tesla stock has been swinging this way and that in recent months. There was the time it dropped 5% on March 15 after the unveiling of the Model Y, a small SUV; the time it fell 7.8% on March 1 after Tesla said it wouldn’t turn a first-quarter profit, and the time it gained 5.7% on Feb.

But Tesla’s chart puts those wild swings in perspective: It is all sound and fury amounting to next to nothing. This chart shows that Tesla stock has been mired in a two-year trading range, with a top near $385 per share, and a bottom near $245 per share. It is a massive range—investors could have made almost 40% by buying at, say, $260 and selling near $360. Or they could have made more than 25% by selling at $360 and buying back at $260. Buy and hold, however, has been a roller-coaster ride to nowhere.

And don’t look for this week’s delivery news to settle the argument. If you’re a Tesla bear, the disappointing numbers just confirm that there’s not enough demand for Tesla’s cars to justify its stock price. But if you’re a Tesla bull, you can argue that the news was either priced into the stock or that the long-term story is unchanged.

So who’s right? Nobody yet. At some point, the range will break one way or the other, and then we’ll have an answer.

 

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This article also was a road to nowhere haha it didn’t say anything but glad the article quota was met for the day

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