Fed closely monitoring easing inflation, potentially setting stage for September rate cuts

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Inflation News

Fed,Prices,Economy

A measure of prices that is closely tracked by the Federal Reserve suggests that inflation pressures in the U.S. economy are continuing to ease.

A sale sign is displayed at a retail store in Rosemont, Ill., Tuesday, June 25, 2024. On Friday, June 28, 2024, the government reports on the inflation gauge that the Federal Reserve follows most closely, a data set that will influence the Fed’s decision on when to begin cutting interest rates in the coming months.

Prices for physical goods actually fell 0.4% from April to May. Gasoline prices, for example, dropped 3.4%, furniture prices 1% and the prices of recreational goods and vehicles 1.6%. On the other hand, prices for services, which include items like restaurant meals and airline fares, ticked up 0.2%. The Fed raised its benchmark rate 11 times in 2022 and 2023 in its drive to curb the worst streak of inflation in four decades. Inflation did cool substantially from its peak in 2022. Still, average prices remain far above where they were before the pandemic, a source of frustration for many Americans and a potential threat to President Joe Biden's re-election bid.Donald Trump attacked Biden's record on inflation.

The Fed tends to favor the inflation gauge that the government issued Friday — the personal consumption expenditures price index — over the better-known consumer price index. The PCE index tries to account for changes in how people shop when inflation jumps. It can capture, for example, when consumers switch from pricey national brands to cheaper store brands.

 

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PCE inflation expected to cool as markets lean towards September Federal Reserve rate cutThe core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) preferred inflation measure, will be published on Friday by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) at 12:30 GMT.
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