S&P 500: Bears Still Hibernating as Index Breaches 5,400+

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Stocks Analysis by Dr. Arnout ter Schure covering: . Read Dr. Arnout ter Schure 's latest article on Investing.com

However, the index extended beyond the standard Fib-based pattern and has essentially gone sideways for the past eleven trading days. Thus, as stated in our previous updateNamely, the rally from the April 19 $4953 low could see one more W-4, 5 sequence. Instead of a ~10% correction from the ideal $5427-53 target zone, we could only be treated with a single-digit pullback to around $5260+/-15 for the potential W-4, followed by a last W-5 to ~$5550+/-25.

In conclusion, although some charts suggest we should look higher, price is always the final arbiter. However, the Bears have so far been unable to break price below even the 1st raised warning level, and if the index can stay above $5400, and especially $5325, we see no reason to turn Bearish.

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