Technology is making inflation statistics an unreliable guide to the economy

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Cut-throat online competition may be stopping manufacturers raising prices, even in a world of rising demand

to fielding accusations: that it has killed off physical retail business, that it mistreats warehouse workers, that it abuses its dominant platform in online sales. So perhaps it is not a surprise that some people also blame it for low inflation. In 2017 Janet Yellen, then chair of the Federal Reserve, wondered aloud if cut-throat online competition might be stopping goods-producers raising prices even in a world of rising demand.

The basic concern is a longstanding one. Because it takes a while for statisticians to notice that consumers are buying new products, they miss precipitous price falls early in a product’s life. It is also hard to tell how much better new products are than what went before. In today’s economy the missed value comes from smartphones, social media and online streaming.

A bigger problem than falling prices is prices that are zero from the start. Most consumers today carry devices in their pockets with which they can make a video-call anywhere in the world, access information on any subject and translate languages instantaneously, all for free. The explosion in the provision of free services is usually cited as a reason to doubt the accuracy of. But it is as big a problem for inflation.

 

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So why does someone expect inflation?

Yeah can anyone explain low inflation of fake money? Hope?

this must be profound

You think that's somehow news? Isn't that how labour markets the world over have worked for decades now?

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